Evidence that positive outcomes elicit a stronger sense of agency is not robust: a commentary on, and re-analysis of, Mariano et al. (2025)
Robrecht van der Wel, Shaheed Azaad, Pernille Hemmer, John Michael (2026) ·
In a recent meta-analysis, Mariano et al. (2025) conclude that people experience a stronger sense of agency over positive than negative outcomes, indexed by temporal compression. In this commentary, we evaluate that claim and identify several concerns about its robustness. First, we were unable to reproduce their main valence effect: our reconstruction of the three-level meta-analytic model yielded a smaller, non-significant difference. Second, we identified data integrity issues, including implausibly small standard deviations that appear to reflect computational errors. Third, we argue that temporal compression effects should be standardized before being combined, because values in milliseconds are not necessarily comparable across different paradigms. When we analyzed standardized effects, evidence for a valence effect was weak, and absent once adjusting for publication bias. Overall...